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NVIDIA Corporation

NVDA ยท technology

NVIDIA guided 212 times since 2019. 137 resolved: 43 met, 94 missed, 32 worse. None acknowledged.

62 better32 worse

Guidance over time

Bar: the guided range, at the date it was statedDot: the reported figure, at the outcome datemetmissed, bettermissed, worsenot resolved

revenue

log scale$2B$5B$10B$20B$50B$100B2019202120232025Q4 FY2019: guided $2.156 to $2.244 billion (2019-01-28), reported $2.21 billion, metQ1 FY2020: guided $2.156 to $2.244 billion (2019-02-14), reported $2.22 billion, metQ2 FY2020: guided $2.499 to $2.601 billion (2019-05-16), reported $2.58 billion, metQ3 FY2020: guided $2.842 to $2.958 billion (2019-08-15), no outcome yet, unresolvedQ1 FY2021: guided $2.94 to $3.06 billion (2020-02-13), reported $3.08 billion, missed, betterQ2 FY2021: guided $3.577 to $3.723 billion (2020-05-21), reported $3.866 billion, missed, betterQ3 FY2021: guided $4.312 to $4.488 billion (2020-08-19), reported $4.726 billion, missed, betterQ4 FY2021: guided $4.704 to $4.896 billion (2020-11-18), reported $5.003 billion, missed, betterQ1 FY2022: guided $5.194 to $5.406 billion (2021-02-24), reported $5.661 billion, missed, betterQ2 FY2022: guided $6.174 to $6.426 billion (2021-05-26), reported $6.507 billion, missed, betterQ3 FY2022: guided $6.664 to $6.936 billion (2021-08-18), reported $7.103 billion, missed, betterQ4 FY2022: guided $7.252 to $7.548 billion (2021-11-17), reported $7.643 billion, missed, betterQ1 FY2023: guided $7.938 to $8.262 billion (2022-02-16), reported $8.288 billion, missed, betterQ2 FY2023: guided $7.938 to $8.262 billion (2022-05-25), reported $6.704 billion, missed, worseQ2 FY2023: guided $6.7 billion (2022-08-08), reported $6.7 billion, metQ3 FY2023: guided $5.782 to $6.018 billion (2022-08-24), reported $5.93 billion, metQ4 FY2023: guided $5.88 to $6.12 billion (2022-11-16), reported $6.05 billion, metQ1 FY2024: guided $6.37 to $6.63 billion (2023-02-22), reported $7.19 billion, missed, betterQ2 FY2024: guided $10.78 to $11.22 billion (2023-05-24), reported $13.507 billion, missed, betterQ3 FY2024: guided $15.68 to $16.32 billion (2023-08-23), reported $18.12 billion, missed, betterQ4 FY2024: guided $19.6 to $20.4 billion (2023-11-21), reported $22.103 billion, missed, betterQ1 FY2025: guided $23.52 to $24.48 billion (2024-02-21), reported $26.044 billion, missed, betterQ2 FY2025: guided $27.44 to $28.56 billion (2024-05-22), reported $30.04 billion, missed, betterQ3 FY2025: guided $31.85 to $33.15 billion (2024-08-28), reported $35.1 billion, missed, betterQ4 FY2025: guided $36.75 to $38.25 billion (2024-11-20), reported $39.331 billion, missed, betterQ1 FY2026: guided $42.14 to $43.86 billion (2025-02-26), reported $44.1 billion, missed, betterQ2 FY2026: guided $44.1 to $45.9 billion (2025-05-28), reported $46.743 billion, missed, betterQ3 FY2026: guided $52.92 to $55.08 billion (2025-08-27), reported $57.006 billion, missed, betterQ4 FY2026: guided $63.7 to $66.3 billion (2025-11-19), reported $68.127 billion, missed, betterQ1 FY2027: guided $76.44 to $79.56 billion (2026-02-25), reported $81.615 billion, missed, betterQ2 FY2027: guided $89.18 to $92.82 billion (2026-05-20), reported $96.221 billion, missed, betterQ3 FY2027: guided $105.84 to $110.16 billion (2026-08-26), no outcome yet, unresolved

operating expenses, GAAP

$2B$4B$6B$8B2019202120232025Q1 FY2020: guided $930 million (2019-02-14), no outcome yet, unresolvedQ2 FY2020: guided $985 million (2019-05-16), no outcome yet, unresolvedQ3 FY2020: guided $980 million (2019-08-15), no outcome yet, unresolvedQ1 FY2021: guided $1.05 billion (2020-02-13), reported $1.028 billion, missed, betterQ2 FY2021: guided $5.7 billion (2020-05-21), reported $5.864 billion, missed, worseQ2 FY2021: guided $1.52 billion (2020-05-21), reported $1.624 billion, missed, worseQ3 FY2021: guided $1.54 billion (2020-08-19), reported $1.562 billion, missed, worseQ4 FY2021: guided $1.64 billion (2020-11-18), reported $1.65 billion, missed, worseQ1 FY2022: guided $1.67 billion (2021-02-24), reported $1.673 billion, missed, worseQ2 FY2022: guided $1.76 billion (2021-05-26), reported $1.771 billion, missed, worseQ3 FY2022: guided $1.96 billion (2021-08-18), reported $1.96 billion, metQ4 FY2022: guided $2.02 billion (2021-11-17), reported $2.029 billion, missed, worseQ1 FY2023: guided $3.55 billion (2022-02-16), reported $3.563 billion, missed, worseQ2 FY2023: guided $2.46 billion (2022-05-25), reported $2.416 billion, missed, betterQ3 FY2023: guided $2.59 billion (2022-08-24), reported $2.576 billion, missed, betterQ4 FY2023: guided $2.56 billion (2022-11-16), reported $2.576 billion, missed, worseQ1 FY2024: guided $2.53 billion (2023-02-22), reported $2.508 billion, missed, betterQ2 FY2024: guided $2.71 billion (2023-05-24), reported $2.662 billion, missed, betterQ3 FY2024: guided $2.95 billion (2023-08-23), reported $2.983 billion, missed, worseQ4 FY2024: guided $3.17 billion (2023-11-21), reported $3.176 billion, missed, worseQ1 FY2025: guided $3.5 billion (2024-02-21), reported $3.497 billion, missed, betterQ2 FY2025: guided $4 billion (2024-05-22), reported $3.932 billion, missed, betterQ3 FY2025: guided $4.3 billion (2024-08-28), reported $4.287 billion, missed, betterQ4 FY2025: guided $4.8 billion (2024-11-20), reported $4.689 billion, missed, betterQ1 FY2026: guided $5.2 billion (2025-02-26), reported $5.03 billion, missed, betterQ2 FY2026: guided $5.7 billion (2025-05-28), reported $5.413 billion, missed, betterQ3 FY2026: guided $5.9 billion (2025-08-27), reported $5.839 billion, missed, betterQ4 FY2026: guided $6.7 billion (2025-11-19), reported $6.794 billion, missed, worseQ1 FY2027: guided $7.7 billion (2026-02-25), reported $7.621 billion, missed, betterQ2 FY2027: guided $8.5 billion (2026-05-20), reported $8.408 billion, missed, betterQ3 FY2027: guided $9.2 billion (2026-08-26), no outcome yet, unresolved

operating expenses, non-GAAP

log scale$1B$2B$5B$10B2019202120232025Q1 FY2020: guided $755 million (2019-02-14), no outcome yet, unresolvedQ2 FY2020: guided $765 million (2019-05-16), no outcome yet, unresolvedQ3 FY2020: guided $765 million (2019-08-15), no outcome yet, unresolvedQ1 FY2021: guided $835 million (2020-02-13), reported $821 million, missed, betterQ2 FY2021: guided $1.04 billion (2020-05-21), reported $1.035 billion, missed, betterQ2 FY2021: guided $4.1 billion (2020-05-21), reported $4.144 billion, missed, worseQ3 FY2021: guided $1.09 billion (2020-08-19), reported $1.101 billion, missed, worseQ4 FY2021: guided $1.18 billion (2020-11-18), reported $1.187 billion, missed, worseQ1 FY2022: guided $1.2 billion (2021-02-24), reported $1.189 billion, missed, betterQ2 FY2022: guided $1.26 billion (2021-05-26), reported $1.266 billion, missed, worseQ3 FY2022: guided $1.37 billion (2021-08-18), reported $1.375 billion, missed, worseQ4 FY2022: guided $1.43 billion (2021-11-17), reported $1.447 billion, missed, worseQ1 FY2023: guided $1.6 billion (2022-02-16), reported $1.608 billion, missed, worseQ2 FY2023: guided $1.75 billion (2022-05-25), reported $1.749 billion, missed, betterQ3 FY2023: guided $1.82 billion (2022-08-24), reported $1.793 billion, missed, betterQ4 FY2023: guided $1.78 billion (2022-11-16), reported $1.775 billion, missed, betterQ1 FY2024: guided $1.78 billion (2023-02-22), reported $1.75 billion, missed, betterQ2 FY2024: guided $1.9 billion (2023-05-24), reported $1.838 billion, missed, betterQ3 FY2024: guided $2 billion (2023-08-23), reported $2.026 billion, missed, worseQ4 FY2024: guided $2.2 billion (2023-11-21), reported $2.21 billion, missed, worseQ1 FY2025: guided $2.5 billion (2024-02-21), reported $2.501 billion, missed, worseQ2 FY2025: guided $2.8 billion (2024-05-22), reported $2.792 billion, missed, betterQ3 FY2025: guided $3 billion (2024-08-28), reported $3.046 billion, missed, worseQ4 FY2025: guided $3.4 billion (2024-11-20), reported $3.378 billion, missed, betterQ1 FY2026: guided $3.6 billion (2025-02-26), reported $3.583 billion, missed, betterQ2 FY2026: guided $4 billion (2025-05-28), reported $3.795 billion, missed, betterQ3 FY2026: guided $4.2 billion (2025-08-27), reported $4.215 billion, missed, worseQ4 FY2026: guided $5 billion (2025-11-19), reported $5.102 billion, missed, worseQ1 FY2027: guided $7.5 billion (2026-02-25), reported $7.449 billion, missed, betterQ2 FY2027: guided $8.3 billion (2026-05-20), reported $8.232 billion, missed, betterQ3 FY2027: guided $9 billion (2026-08-26), no outcome yet, unresolved

gross margin, GAAP

50%60%70%80%2019202120232025Q1 FY2020: guided 58.3% to 59.3% (2019-02-14), no outcome yet, unresolvedQ2 FY2020: guided 58.7% to 59.7% (2019-05-16), no outcome yet, unresolvedQ3 FY2020: guided 61.5% to 62.5% (2019-08-15), no outcome yet, unresolvedQ1 FY2021: guided 64.5% to 65.5% (2020-02-13), reported 65.1%, metQ2 FY2021: guided 58.1% to 59.1% (2020-05-21), reported 58.8%, metQ3 FY2021: guided 62% to 63% (2020-08-19), reported 62.6%, metQ4 FY2021: guided 62.3% to 63.3% (2020-11-18), reported 63.1%, metQ1 FY2022: guided 63.3% to 64.3% (2021-02-24), reported 64.1%, metQ2 FY2022: guided 64.1% to 65.1% (2021-05-26), reported 64.8%, metQ3 FY2022: guided 64.7% to 65.7% (2021-08-18), reported 65.2%, metQ4 FY2022: guided 64.8% to 65.8% (2021-11-17), reported 65.4%, metQ1 FY2023: guided 64.7% to 65.7% (2022-02-16), reported 65.5%, metQ2 FY2023: guided 64.6% to 65.6% (2022-05-25), reported 43.5%, missed, worseQ3 FY2023: guided 61.9% to 62.9% (2022-08-24), reported 53.6%, missed, worseQ4 FY2023: guided 62.7% to 63.7% (2022-11-16), reported 63.3%, metQ1 FY2024: guided 63.6% to 64.6% (2023-02-22), reported 64.6%, metQ2 FY2024: guided 68.1% to 69.1% (2023-05-24), reported 70.1%, missed, betterQ3 FY2024: guided 71% to 72% (2023-08-23), reported 74%, missed, betterQ4 FY2024: guided 74% to 75% (2023-11-21), reported 76%, missed, betterQ1 FY2025: guided 75.8% to 76.8% (2024-02-21), reported 78.4%, missed, betterQ2 FY2025: guided 74.3% to 75.3% (2024-05-22), reported 75.1%, metQ3 FY2025: guided 73.9% to 74.9% (2024-08-28), reported 74.6%, metQ4 FY2025: guided 72.5% to 73.5% (2024-11-20), reported 73%, metQ1 FY2026: guided 70.1% to 71.1% (2025-02-26), reported 60.5%, missed, worseQ2 FY2026: guided 71.3% to 72.3% (2025-05-28), reported 72.4%, missed, betterQ3 FY2026: guided 72.8% to 73.8% (2025-08-27), reported 73.4%, metQ4 FY2026: guided 74.3% to 75.3% (2025-11-19), reported 75%, metQ1 FY2027: guided 74.4% to 75.4% (2026-02-25), reported 74.9%, metQ2 FY2027: guided 74.4% to 75.4% (2026-05-20), reported 75%, metQ3 FY2027: guided 73.5% to 74.5% (2026-08-26), no outcome yet, unresolved
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gross margin, non-GAAP

50%60%70%80%2019202120232025Q1 FY2020: guided 58.5% to 59.5% (2019-02-14), no outcome yet, unresolvedQ2 FY2020: guided 59% to 60% (2019-05-16), no outcome yet, unresolvedQ3 FY2020: guided 62% to 63% (2019-08-15), no outcome yet, unresolvedQ1 FY2021: guided 64.9% to 65.9% (2020-02-13), reported 65.8%, metQ2 FY2021: guided 65.5% to 66.5% (2020-05-21), reported 66%, metQ3 FY2021: guided 65% to 66% (2020-08-19), reported 65.5%, metQ4 FY2021: guided 65% to 66% (2020-11-18), reported 65.5%, metQ1 FY2022: guided 65.5% to 66.5% (2021-02-24), reported 66.2%, metQ2 FY2022: guided 66% to 67% (2021-05-26), reported 66.7%, metQ3 FY2022: guided 66.5% to 67.5% (2021-08-18), reported 67%, metQ4 FY2022: guided 66.5% to 67.5% (2021-11-17), reported 67%, metQ1 FY2023: guided 66.5% to 67.5% (2022-02-16), reported 67.1%, metQ2 FY2023: guided 66.6% to 67.6% (2022-05-25), reported 45.9%, missed, worseQ3 FY2023: guided 64.5% to 65.5% (2022-08-24), reported 56.1%, missed, worseQ4 FY2023: guided 65.5% to 66.5% (2022-11-16), reported 66.1%, metQ1 FY2024: guided 66% to 67% (2023-02-22), reported 66.8%, metQ2 FY2024: guided 69.5% to 70.5% (2023-05-24), reported 71.2%, missed, betterQ3 FY2024: guided 72% to 73% (2023-08-23), reported 75%, missed, betterQ4 FY2024: guided 75% to 76% (2023-11-21), reported 76.7%, missed, betterQ1 FY2025: guided 76.5% to 77.5% (2024-02-21), reported 78.9%, missed, betterQ2 FY2025: guided 75% to 76% (2024-05-22), reported 75.7%, metQ3 FY2025: guided 74.5% to 75.5% (2024-08-28), reported 75%, metQ4 FY2025: guided 73% to 74% (2024-11-20), reported 73.5%, metQ1 FY2026: guided 70.5% to 71.5% (2025-02-26), reported 61%, missed, worseQ2 FY2026: guided 71.5% to 72.5% (2025-05-28), reported 72.7%, missed, betterQ3 FY2026: guided 73% to 74% (2025-08-27), reported 73.6%, metQ4 FY2026: guided 74.5% to 75.5% (2025-11-19), reported 75.2%, metQ1 FY2027: guided 74.5% to 75.5% (2026-02-25), reported 75%, metQ2 FY2027: guided 74.5% to 75.5% (2026-05-20), reported 75%, metQ3 FY2027: guided 73.5% to 74.5% (2026-08-26), no outcome yet, unresolved

Charts follow the metric filter. Metrics with fewer than three resolved statements show in the table only.

gross marginoperating expensesother income and expenserevenuetax rate
FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026FY2027
MetMissedMissed, worseUnresolved

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MetricBasisPeriodGuided rangeStatedReportedOutcome dateStatusDirectionAcknowledged
operating expensesGAAPQ4 FY2023$2.56 billion2022-11-16$2.576 billion2023-02-22missedworseno
gross marginnon-GAAPQ3 FY202364.5% to 65.5%2022-08-2456.1%2022-11-16missedworseno
gross marginGAAPQ3 FY202361.9% to 62.9%2022-08-2453.6%2022-11-16missedworseno
gross marginGAAPQ2 FY202364.6% to 65.6%2022-05-2543.5%2022-08-24missedworseno
gross marginnon-GAAPQ2 FY202366.6% to 67.6%2022-05-2545.9%2022-08-24missedworseno
revenuen/aQ2 FY2023$7.938 to $8.262 billion2022-05-25$6.704 billion2022-08-24missedworseno
operating expensesnon-GAAPQ1 FY2023$1.6 billion2022-02-16$1.608 billion2022-05-25missedworseno
operating expensesGAAPQ1 FY2023$3.55 billion2022-02-16$3.563 billion2022-05-25missedworseno